. ibyifuzo bisabwa biracyahangayikishije, biteganijwe ko amadolari ya Amerika ateganijwe gukuta inkike.
Mu 2022, igiciro cya metallocene polyethylene USD cyerekanaga icyerekezo “V” kidahindagurika, kandi igiciro kinini muri uyu mwaka ni Mitsui Petrochemical SP1520, igiciro cyari $ 1940 / toni.Urebye kubitangwa nibisabwa, uruhande rutanga: izamuka rikabije ryibiciro bya peteroli bifite inkunga ikomeye, ibura ryumutwaro wo hejuru wa monomer wagabanutse, kandi inyungu ya POE yatumye umusaruro wibikoresho byo mumahanga bigabanuka kugirango ugabanye metallocene polyethylene. .Ibintu byavuzwe haruguru biganisha ku bicuruzwa bitumizwa mu mahanga bya metallocene polyethylene mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka kugira ngo bikomeze urwego rwo hasi mu 2021, kandi igiciro cy’ibicuruzwa cyazamutse mu nzira zose.Ku bijyanye n’ibisabwa, igihembwe cya kabiri cyinjiye muri firime y’ubuhinzi hanze yigihembwe hamwe n’ingaruka z’ibikorwa by’ubuzima rusange, ibicuruzwa byo hasi byabujijwe n’ibikoresho no gutwara abantu ntabwo byari byiza nko mu myaka yashize, igiciro cy’ibikoresho rusange na metallocene polyethylene byombi yagabanutse, kandi gutangira kubaka byari munsi ya 20% ugereranije no mu myaka yashize ubwo ibyoherezwa mu mahanga n'ibikenerwa mu gihugu bitari byiza nk'uko byari byitezwe.Urebye ibyavuzwe haruguru, ibyavuzwe haruguru nimpamvu zituma ibiciro bizamuka kandi bikamanuka kugeza ubu muri 2022. Mu gihembwe cya gatatu, kubera ko imitwaro yo kwishyiriraho ibigo byo mu rwego rwo hejuru ihagaze neza kandi ikibazo cya mono kikaba gikemutse, ibigo byo hejuru bigurisha cyane ibarura ryabyo ku nyungu, kandi igiciro cya USD kigabanuka cyane.Muri Nzeri 2022, igiciro cya USD 1018MA cyamanutse kigera kuri USD 1220 / toni.Hejuru hakiri kare kugirango byorohe, igihembwe cya kane cyigiciro cyamadorari yAmerika giteganijwe kugabanuka guhindagurika.
Hariho ibintu byinshi biganisha ku kuzamuka no kugabanuka kwibiciro.Muri rusange dusesenguye duhereye ku bintu by’imbere n’imbere, harimo ibidukikije mpuzamahanga, politiki y’igihugu, umusaruro n’ubukungu.Ibintu bya macro bigira ingaruka kuri metallocene polyethylene muri 2022 ahanini birimo ibintu bikurikira.
Ibiciro bya peteroli mpuzamahanga byazamuye imiterere rusange yisoko, nisoko ryibicuruzwa mu 2022 biva ku isoko ry’ibimasa rihinduka isoko rihindagurika.Mugihe ibiciro mpuzamahanga bya peteroli byazamutse muri Werurwe 2022, amasoko yibicuruzwa yinjiye mugihe cyimihindagurikire nini kandi yagutse.Impuzandengo ya buri mwaka ya peteroli ya peteroli mu 2022 izaba $ 98.35 / BBL, hejuru ya 44.43% ugereranije n’iyo mu 2021. Igihe intambara yatangiraga hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine, igiciro cya peteroli mpuzamahanga cyazamutse cyane, ndetse n’igiciro cya polyethylene metallocene gikomeza Kuri Hejuru.Mu nganda z’amahanga zitumizwa mu mahanga, ubushobozi bwa polyethylene bwo gukora Mogin bugizwe ahanini na ExxonMobil na Dow, bukaba bufite toni miliyoni 3.2 na toni miliyoni 1.8.Dufatiye ku ruganda rwa metallocene polyethylene ya ExxonMobil, rugabanijwemo cyane mu karere ka Singapuru no mu karere ka Leta zunze ubumwe z’Amerika muri urwo ruganda, mu gihe ibicuruzwa biva mu Bushinwa byitwa metallocene polyethylene biva mu karere ka Singapore, naho igice cyo hejuru kikaba ari uruganda rukora inganda.Muri rusange, izamuka ryinshi rya peteroli ya peteroli hamwe n’ibura rya monomer, ryashyigikiye igihembwe cya mbere metallocene polyethylene y’igiciro cy’amadolari y’Amerika yo hanze.
Dukurikije imibare yaturutse mu kigo cy’igihugu gishinzwe ibarurishamibare, kuva muri Mutarama kugeza muri Nzeri, igurishwa ry’ibicuruzwa by’umuguzi ryiyongereyeho 0.7% umwaka ushize, ibyo bikaba byari munsi y’ubwiyongere bwa 16.4% mu gihe kimwe mu 2021. The imbaraga zimbere mu kugarura isoko ryabaguzi ziracyahagije, kandi ibyifuzo bidakomeye bigira ingaruka kubishoramari no gufata ibyemezo.Ufatanije no gukoresha hasi ya metallocene polyethylene, ikoreshwa rya metallocene polyethylene igabanywa cyane cyane muri firime yubuhinzi, gupakira inganda, gupakira ibiryo, ibiti, gushyushya ibikorwa remezo nizindi nzego.Duhereye ku isesengura rifitanye isano namakuru, firime yubuhinzi hamwe nugupakira ibiryo birakomeye, bitanga firime hamwe nibice bikenerwa mubipfunyika byibiribwa bikenewe cyane, niba imboga, ibiryo, gupakira inyama nibindi.Ibinyobwa byagabanutse cyane muri uyu mwaka.Metallocene polyethylene ifitanye isano na firime igabanya ubushyuhe.Kugabanuka kw'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga n'ibisabwa mu gihugu byagize ingaruka ku gukenera firime igabanya ubushyuhe.Muri rusange, metallocene polyethylene kumurima ujyanye nimirima, firime yubuhinzi mugihe cyimpera iragaragara, utundi turere twerekana kugabanuka gutandukanye.
Mu 2022, igipimo cy’ivunjisha kizagabanuka hafi 10%, naho ivunjisha rya USD / RMB rizacika “7 ″ mu mpera za Nzeri.Kugabanuka guhoraho kw'ivunjisha ry'ifaranga bifitanye isano ahanini no guhindura politiki y’ifaranga muri Amerika.Bitewe n’izamuka ry’ibiciro bikomeje kwiyongera kwa Banki nkuru y’igihugu hamwe n’intege nke z’ama euro, igipimo cy’amadolari y’Amerika kizakomeza kwiyongera mu 2022, bizana igitutu cyo guhindura igipimo cy’ivunjisha.Birumvikana ko, usibye kugabanuka kw'ivunjisha ry’ifaranga, andi mafaranga atari amadolari nayo arata agaciro, harimo na euro, yatakaje agaciro karenga 12%.Kuva muri Nzeri, igipimo cy'ivunjisha cyahindutse kenshi.Dukurikije ubushakashatsi bwacu, abakozi ntibakunze gufunga amadovize nyuma ya Nzeri, kandi guta agaciro k'ivunjisha ry’ifaranga byongereye igiciro cy’abakozi ku buryo butagaragara.Mu gihembwe cya kane, igipimo cy’ivunjisha rishobora gukomeza guhindagurika mu buryo bubiri mu gihembwe cya kane.Dufatiye ku ngingo zifatizo, aho ubukungu bwifashe mu gihugu imbere biratinda, kandi ubuyobozi bwa Federasiyo bukomeje kuba bwiza, amafaranga y’amafaranga azakomeza guhura n’igitutu cyo guta agaciro.
Urebye ibyavuzwe haruguru, metallocene polyethylene iracyakomeza guterwa cyane n’ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga mu 2022, hafi 87%.Amavuta ya peteroli, igipimo cy’ivunjisha, ibisabwa ni ibintu nyamukuru bigira ingaruka ku ihinduka ry’isoko.Vuba aha, ibiciro bya peteroli na Ethane byagabanutse, ibyifuzo by’imbere mu gihugu byazamutse bishyigikira ingunguru nto, kandi igipimo cy’ivunjisha cyaragurishijwe ku buryo bugaragara.Mu mukino rusange wo gutanga no gusaba, ikiguzi ntigishyigikirwa neza muri iki gihe, kandi amadolari yo hanze ateganijwe kugabanuka mugihe ibarura ryibigo byamahanga byegeranijwe.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-10-2022